Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 22/07, 10:00

Prediction: Tim Handel vs Imanol Lopez Morillo

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Tim Handel Imanol Lopez Morillo
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tim Handel 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLLLWWL
Imanol Lopez Morillo 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLLWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tim Handel 1454 · Imanol Lopez Morillo 1511
Tim HandelImanol Lopez Morillo
Our model42%58%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Imanol Lopez Morillo (rating 1454 vs 1511).

Statistics

Tim HandelImanol Lopez Morillo
Win %30%50%
Win % · Clay 30% (10) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.41.1-1
Games (G-P)8.6-11.210-9.6
Aces1.31.3
Double faults3.11.7
1st serve %66.3%63.7%
Break %30.6%49%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tim Handel

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/06 Samuele Pieri
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
23/06 Remy Dugardin
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
17/06 Christian Djonov
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
1-2 14-19 L
09/06 Daniel Siniakov
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
01/06 Daniel Elahi Galan
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
19/05 Maxime Janvier
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
30/04 Gianmarco Ferrari
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
29/04 Luigi Valletta
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
28/04 Sebastiano Cocola
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
13/04 Manuel Mazza
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Imanol Lopez Morillo

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Linus Lagerbohm
M15 Lodz
0-2 9-13 L
10/07 Lorenzo Balducci
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-3 W
09/07 Marcel Kamrowski
M15 Lodz
2-0 13-7 W
07/07 Daniel Tazabekov
M15 Lodz
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Calvin Mueller
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
23/06 Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
22/06 Dragos Nicolae Cazacu
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
21/06 Maximilian Borisov
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
15/06 Olle Wallin
Challenger Poznan · Clay
1-2 13-18 L
11/06 Pedro Sakamoto
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tim Handel vs Imanol Lopez Morillo?

Our model gives 59% to Imanol Lopez Morillo, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.