Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 21/07, 12:30
Prediction: Aaron Funk vs Jesse De Jager
Prediction summary
Winner
Aaron Funk
Jesse De Jager
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Aaron Funk
5-5 (W-L)
Jesse De Jager
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aaron Funk 1515 · Jesse De Jager 1557
| Aaron Funk | Jesse De Jager | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jesse De Jager (rating 1515 vs 1557).
- Note: Aaron Funk makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Aaron Funk | Jesse De Jager | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.2 | 11.3-7.7 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 3 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 73% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aaron Funk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Kenny de Schepper M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Michael Bassem Sobhy M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/05 | David Eichenseher M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/05 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 14/05 | Amr Asrawy M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 13/05 | Arjun Rathi M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/05 | Yash Chaurasia M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/04 | Cedric Stanke M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 22-24 | L |
| 20/04 | Jan Kluczynski M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
Jesse De Jager
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 26/06 | Sander Jong M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Stijn Hofman M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/06 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 28/03 | Tim Handel UTR Pro Monterol · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/03 | Julio Cesar Porras UTR Pro Monterol · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/03 | Lars Wagenaar UTR Pro Monterol · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/03 | Nikola Lulic UTR Pro Monterol · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aaron Funk vs Jesse De Jager?
Our model gives 55% to Jesse De Jager, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.