Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 21/07, 12:30

Prediction: Isac Stroemberg vs Niels Ratiu

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Isac Stroemberg Niels Ratiu
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Isac Stroemberg 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLLWLWWL
Niels Ratiu 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLWLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Isac Stroemberg 1501 · Niels Ratiu 1466
Isac StroembergNiels Ratiu
Our model55%45%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Isac StroembergNiels Ratiu
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11-1.5
Games (G-P)9.1-9.712.5-12.9
Aces1.95.4
Double faults3.43.6
1st serve %64.5%71.8%
Break %38.6%32.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Isac Stroemberg

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Nikolai Barsukov
M15 Uslar
0-2 7-13 L
15/07 Lewie Lane
M15 Uslar
2-0 12-7 W
14/07 Andre Megrabian
M15 Uslar
2-0 12-8 W
08/07 Ioannis Xilas
M25 Kassel
0-2 2-12 L
07/07 Ruben Hartig
M25 Kassel
2-0 13-9 W
15/06 Jan Sebesta
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
1-2 11-12 L
14/06 Yannick Castelnuovo
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-1 9-9 W
10/06 Raphael Vaksmann
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
08/06 Cameron Price
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
05/12 Vlado Jankanj
UTR Pro Oxford · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Niels Ratiu

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Kasra Rahmani
Challenger Liege · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
29/06 Jannik Opitz
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
1-2 15-17 L
24/06 Fadi Bidan
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
0-2 11-13 L
18/06 Pieter De Lange
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
1-2 12-17 L
16/06 Adrian Oetzbach
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-1 17-15 W
15/06 Santiago Franchini
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
01/10 Pedro Rodrigues
ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
09/08 Emilien Demanet
ITF M15 Eupen · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
08/08 Fadi Bidan
ITF M15 Eupen · Clay
2-1 18-12 W
07/08 Rodrigo Alujas
ITF M15 Eupen · Clay
2-1 19-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Isac Stroemberg vs Niels Ratiu?

Our model gives 56% to Niels Ratiu, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.