Tennis · M25 Metzingen · 21/07, 11:00
Prediction: Dominik Recek vs Lasse Poertner
Prediction summary
Winner
Dominik Recek
Lasse Poertner
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Dominik Recek
6-4 (W-L)
Lasse Poertner
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dominik Recek 1515 · Lasse Poertner 1525
| Dominik Recek | Lasse Poertner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Dominik Recek | Lasse Poertner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.7 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-7.8 | 11.6-9 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 36.5% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dominik Recek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Alexander Wagner M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Iannis Miletich M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Luca Castagnola M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Tarek Erlewein M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Aryan Shah M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Georgi Georgiev M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Rudolf Molleker M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 09/06 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Lasse Poertner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Vincent Marysko M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Niklas Guttau M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Kaspar Mathes M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Mariano Dedura-Palomero M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Michel Hopp M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Julien Penzlin M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Julian Forer M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Nikolai Barsukov M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 15/06 | Kim Johannes Niethammer M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dominik Recek vs Lasse Poertner?
Our model gives 56% to Dominik Recek, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.