Tennis · W15 Gran Canaria · 21/07, 13:00
Prediction: Meritxell Teixido Garcia vs Min Liu
Prediction summary
Winner
Meritxell Teixido Garcia
Min Liu
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Meritxell Teixido Garcia
5-5 (W-L)
Min Liu
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Meritxell Teixido Garcia 1511 · Min Liu 1453
| Meritxell Teixido Garcia | Min Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Meritxell Teixido Garcia (rating 1511 vs 1453).
- Meritxell Teixido Garcia is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Meritxell Teixido Garcia makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Meritxell Teixido Garcia | Min Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.1 | 8.7-12.6 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 53.3% | 51.3% |
| Break % | 58.6% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Meritxell Teixido Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Chloe Noel W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Maria De La Paz Alberto W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Esther Lopez Alcaraz W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 09/07 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Iveta Dapkute W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Elena Micic W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Sabine Rutlauka W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Ru Xi Wu W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Chelsea Fontenel W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Iveta Dapkute W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Min Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Stefaniya Pushkar W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 28/06 | Miroslava Medvedeva W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Berta Bonardi W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Chloe Noel W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Andrea Palazon W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Alana Smith WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Elizabeth Coleman W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Claudia Ferrer Perez W15 Monzon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Marta Leon Jaume W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/04 | Kristina Novak W75 Portoroz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Meritxell Teixido Garcia vs Min Liu?
Our model gives 73% to Meritxell Teixido Garcia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.