Tennis · W15 Gran Canaria · 21/07, 13:00
Prediction: Warona Mdlulwa vs Kristina Novak
Prediction summary
Winner
Warona Mdlulwa
Kristina Novak
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Warona Mdlulwa
2-8 (W-L)
Kristina Novak
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Warona Mdlulwa
0–1
Kristina Novak
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Warona Mdlulwa 1453 · Kristina Novak 1463
| Warona Mdlulwa | Kristina Novak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Warona Mdlulwa 0–1 Kristina Novak (1).
- Note: Warona Mdlulwa makes many double faults (7.2/match).
- Note: Kristina Novak makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Warona Mdlulwa | Kristina Novak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-11.9 | 10.1-12.7 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 7.2 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 55.2% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 60.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Warona Mdlulwa 0 – 1 Kristina Novak (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Warona Mdlulwa 0–1 Kristina Novak
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/24 ITF W35 Erwitte | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Warona Mdlulwa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Katja Wiersholm W50 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Alyssa Reguer W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Ambar Corbalan Miranda W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Martina Okalova W50 Chihuahua |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/03 | Sabastiani Leon W50 Chihuahua |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 11/03 | Maria F Navarro Oliva W35 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/03 | Michelle Kelly Tikhonko W35 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/03 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Lya Fernandez W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Kristina Novak
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06 | Diana Marcinkevica W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Elizabeth Coleman W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 31/05 | Elizabeth Jurna W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 19/05 | Eva Vedder W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 13/05 | Ava Schueller W15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/05 | Pauline Gloeckner W15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/05 | Amelia Rajecki W35 Nottingham |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 06/05 | Sabastiani Leon W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/04 | Esther Adeshina W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Solymar Colling W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Warona Mdlulwa vs Kristina Novak?
Our model gives 73% to Kristina Novak, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.