Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 21/07, 11:30
Prediction: Mona Barthel vs Yulia Putintseva
Prediction summary
Winner
Mona Barthel
Yulia Putintseva
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mona Barthel
2-8 (W-L)
Yulia Putintseva
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mona Barthel
0–1
Yulia Putintseva
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mona Barthel 1494 · Yulia Putintseva 1547
| Mona Barthel | Yulia Putintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yulia Putintseva (rating 1494 vs 1547).
- Mona Barthel dominates on serve: 7 aces and 50.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Mona Barthel 0–1 Yulia Putintseva (1).
- Note: Mona Barthel makes many double faults (8.1/match).
Statistics
| Mona Barthel | Yulia Putintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.7 | 10.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 7 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 8.1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 50.4% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Mona Barthel 0 – 1 Yulia Putintseva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mona Barthel 0–1 Yulia Putintseva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/19 WTA Nurnberg | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mona Barthel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Eva Vedder WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 19/07 | Ekaterina Yashina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Arabella Koller WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 01/07 | Victoria Pohle W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Lin Zhu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Anna-Lena Friedsam French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Yulia Putintseva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Alina Charaeva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Claire Liu WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Martha Matoula WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Tatjana Maria Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Maria Camila Osorio French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mona Barthel vs Yulia Putintseva?
Our model gives 72% to Yulia Putintseva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.