Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 21/07, 15:00
Prediction: Arantxa Rus vs Elina Avanesyan
Prediction summary
Winner
Arantxa Rus
Elina Avanesyan
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Arantxa Rus
6-4 (W-L)
Elina Avanesyan
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arantxa Rus
2–0
Elina Avanesyan
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arantxa Rus 1521 · Elina Avanesyan 1572
| Arantxa Rus | Elina Avanesyan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elina Avanesyan (rating 1521 vs 1572).
- Elina Avanesyan is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Arantxa Rus 2–0 Elina Avanesyan (2).
Statistics
| Arantxa Rus | Elina Avanesyan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.4 | 11.9-6.4 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 63.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Arantxa Rus 2 – 0 Elina Avanesyan (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arantxa Rus 2–0 Elina Avanesyan
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/21 ITF W60 San Bartolome De Tirajana | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/09/19 ITF W25 Marbella | 2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arantxa Rus
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Chloe Paquet WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 19/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Leonie Rabl WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/07 | Lia Karatancheva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Federica Urgesi W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Sarah Van Emst W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Veronika Podrez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Jazmin Ortenzi French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
Elina Avanesyan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Petra Marcinko WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Irina Fetecau WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Emily Seibold WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Elena Malygina Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Enki Hyseni Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Michelle Dzjachangirova Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arantxa Rus vs Elina Avanesyan?
Our model gives 64% to Elina Avanesyan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.