Prediction: Madelief Hageman vs Cristina Elena Tiglea
Prediction summary
Winner
Madelief Hageman
Cristina Elena Tiglea
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Madelief Hageman
5-5 (W-L)
Cristina Elena Tiglea
10-0 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Madelief Hageman 1506 · Cristina Elena Tiglea 1579
| Madelief Hageman | Cristina Elena Tiglea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cristina Elena Tiglea (rating 1506 vs 1579).
- Cristina Elena Tiglea is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Cristina Elena Tiglea makes many double faults (10.5/match).
Statistics
| Madelief Hageman | Cristina Elena Tiglea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.5 | 12.3-6.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 10.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 62.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madelief Hageman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Emma Sophie Glaser W50 Horb |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Annemarie Lazar W50 Darmstadt |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Jana Angelovska W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Jenny Lim W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Daniela Vismane W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 25/06 | Lian Tran W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Monika Wojcik W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Iva Ivanova W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 15/06 | Alexa Karatancheva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Karine Sarkisova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Cristina Elena Tiglea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Ayline Esina Samardzic W50 Horb |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/04 | Khrystyna Vozniak UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/04 | Lena Peyer UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/04 | Carrington Brown UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/04 | Sadbaroy Kholdarova UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/03 | Danielle Young UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/01 | Rose Biria UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/01 | Katerina Mandelikova UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/01 | Skye Madatali UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/01 | Cookie Jarvis-Tredgett UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madelief Hageman vs Cristina Elena Tiglea?
Our model gives 51% to Cristina Elena Tiglea, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.