Tennis · M25 Ollersbach · 21/07, 18:30
Prediction: Aleksandr Braynin vs Alexander Wagner
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandr Braynin
Alexander Wagner
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandr Braynin
4-6 (W-L)
Alexander Wagner
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandr Braynin 1521 · Alexander Wagner 1443
| Aleksandr Braynin | Alexander Wagner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aleksandr Braynin (rating 1521 vs 1443).
- Aleksandr Braynin is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Aleksandr Braynin | Alexander Wagner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.9 | 10.9-12.2 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.4% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 30.8% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandr Braynin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Linus Lagerbohm M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Jan Wygona M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Davide Tortora M15 Store |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Michael Gloeckler M15 Store |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Tomas Lanik M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Szymon Karpinski M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Nico Hipfl M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Peter Fajta M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Alexander Wagner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kramsach |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Manuel Plunger M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Matyas Fuele M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Patrik Meszaros M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Alexandr Tiutchenko M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Marton Liszka M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Tomas Lanik M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/04 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Mauthausen · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/03 | Kacper Knitter M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandr Braynin vs Alexander Wagner?
Our model gives 62% to Aleksandr Braynin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.