Tennis · M25 Ollersbach · 22/07, 10:00
Prediction: Alexander Gschiel vs Sebastian Sorger
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Gschiel
Sebastian Sorger
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Gschiel
3-7 (W-L)
Sebastian Sorger
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Gschiel 1446 · Sebastian Sorger 1519
| Alexander Gschiel | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Sorger (rating 1446 vs 1519).
Statistics
| Alexander Gschiel | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-10.3 | 10.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 57% |
| Break % | 36.4% | 68.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Gschiel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Pranav Karthik M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Mattias Southcombe M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-9 | L |
| 21/04 | Yassine Smiej M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Zangar Nurlanuly M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Arthur Bellegy M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/12 | Illya Beloborodko M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Sebastian Sorger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Yanaki Milev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Aaron Funk M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Roman Postolka M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 26/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Matic Dimic M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Vito Tonejc M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/06 | Andrej Nedic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Hynek Barton Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Oliver Crawford M25 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Gschiel vs Sebastian Sorger?
Our model gives 75% to Sebastian Sorger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.