Tennis · M25 Ollersbach · 22/07, 10:00
Prediction: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Petros Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Tommaso Compagnucci
Petros Tsitsipas
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tommaso Compagnucci
6-4 (W-L)
Petros Tsitsipas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tommaso Compagnucci 1524 · Petros Tsitsipas 1478
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Petros Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tommaso Compagnucci (rating 1524 vs 1478).
- Note: Petros Tsitsipas makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Petros Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.3 | 10.8-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tommaso Compagnucci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Francesco Giuseppe Colasanto Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/06 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/05 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/05 | Jelle Sels Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
Petros Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Theo Papamalamis M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Maurice-Noel Kaserer M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Lodz |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Martins Rocens M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Viacheslav Bielinskyi M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Glib Sekachov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Guillaume Dalmasso M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 10/06 | Elias Julian Werner M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tommaso Compagnucci vs Petros Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 72% to Tommaso Compagnucci, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.