Tennis · M25 Ollersbach · 22/07, 10:00
Prediction: Kalin Ivanovski vs Aleksander Chayka
Prediction summary
Winner
Kalin Ivanovski
Aleksander Chayka
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kalin Ivanovski
9-1 (W-L)
Aleksander Chayka
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kalin Ivanovski 1617 · Aleksander Chayka 1468
| Kalin Ivanovski | Aleksander Chayka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kalin Ivanovski (rating 1617 vs 1468).
- Kalin Ivanovski is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Aleksander Chayka makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Kalin Ivanovski | Aleksander Chayka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.1 | 9.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 79.1% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 31% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kalin Ivanovski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Yanaki Milev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 03/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Liam Delicata M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Jan Facek M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Aleksander Chayka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Lambert Ruland M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 05/02 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/02 | Andrey Dvortsov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/01 | Semen Pankin M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/01 | Carl Holder M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/12 | Toprak Avcibasi M15 Ceuta · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/11 | Cyril Vandermeersch ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/11 | Sergio Planella Hernandez ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 19/11 | Cyril Vandermeersch ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/10 | Maximilian Homberg ITF M15 Malta |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kalin Ivanovski vs Aleksander Chayka?
Our model gives 81% to Kalin Ivanovski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.