Tennis · M25 Ollersbach · 21/07, 14:30
Prediction: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Leyton Rivera
Prediction summary
Winner
Filip Jeff Planinsek
Leyton Rivera
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Filip Jeff Planinsek
6-4 (W-L)
Leyton Rivera
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filip Jeff Planinsek 1574 · Leyton Rivera 1524
| Filip Jeff Planinsek | Leyton Rivera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filip Jeff Planinsek (rating 1574 vs 1524).
- Filip Jeff Planinsek dominates on serve: 10.3 aces and 42.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Filip Jeff Planinsek | Leyton Rivera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.8 | 12.5-11.7 |
| Aces | 10.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 77.6% | 65% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filip Jeff Planinsek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Felix Gill Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Aryan Shah M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Vincent Marysko M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Lucio Ratti M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 27/06 | Bor Artnak M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 26/06 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Nicolas Parizzia M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Leyton Rivera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Linus Lagerbohm M15 Lodz |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Jakub Jedrzejczak M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Petr Michnev M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Tomasz Berkieta M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Maximilian Figl M15 Store |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Stefan Seifert M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Markus Molder M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Timeo Trufelli M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Leyton Rivera?
Our model gives 71% to Filip Jeff Planinsek, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.