Tennis · M25 Ollersbach · 21/07, 17:00
Prediction: Ioannis Xilas vs Lukas Pokorny
Prediction summary
Winner
Ioannis Xilas
Lukas Pokorny
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ioannis Xilas
2-8 (W-L)
Lukas Pokorny
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ioannis Xilas 1443 · Lukas Pokorny 1493
| Ioannis Xilas | Lukas Pokorny | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lukas Pokorny (rating 1443 vs 1493).
Statistics
| Ioannis Xilas | Lukas Pokorny | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 14% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.7 | 10.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 39% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ioannis Xilas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Matthew William Donald M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Lasse Poertner M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Isac Stroemberg M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/06 | Liam Broady Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/05 | Manuel Mazza Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Lukas Pokorny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Andrea Paolini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alex Barrena Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Eero Vasa Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Martin Krumich Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ioannis Xilas vs Lukas Pokorny?
Our model gives 52% to Ioannis Xilas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.