Tennis · W15 Brisbane · 21/07, 03:30
Prediction: Rianna Alame vs Lucia Gale
Prediction summary
Winner
Rianna Alame
Lucia Gale
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Rianna Alame
6-4 (W-L)
Lucia Gale
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rianna Alame 1557 · Lucia Gale 1475
| Rianna Alame | Lucia Gale | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rianna Alame (rating 1557 vs 1475).
- Rianna Alame is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Lucia Gale makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Rianna Alame | Lucia Gale | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-6.3 | 10.5-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 60.7% | 56.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rianna Alame
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Destanee Aiava UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Isabella Crossman UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Ava-Monet Sycamore UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Nikita Desai UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Escher Case-Boag UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/06 | Ayeesha Dowerah UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/03 | Belle Thompson W15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 25/03 | Christina Dodaj W15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 19/03 | Ashleigh Simes W15 Wodonga · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/03 | Yui Chikaraishi W15 Wodonga · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Lucia Gale
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | Miyu Kato UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Kokoro Ishikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Shizuka Sakurada UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Lidia Podgorichani W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Eunchae Kim W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 03/05 | Amittalai Prasutnawin W15 Nakhon Pathom Qual · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/04 | Yuka Hosoki W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/04 | Amittalai Prasutnawin W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/04 | Madison Rose W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/03 | Jeong Moon W15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rianna Alame vs Lucia Gale?
Our model gives 66% to Rianna Alame, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.