Tennis · M15 Bali · 21/07, 04:00

Prediction: Yuta Kawahashi vs Ryotaro Taguchi

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Yuta Kawahashi Ryotaro Taguchi
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Yuta Kawahashi 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWWLWLLL
Ryotaro Taguchi 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWLWLWL
Head-to-head
Yuta Kawahashi 1–1 Ryotaro Taguchi (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yuta Kawahashi 1458 · Ryotaro Taguchi 1491
Yuta KawahashiRyotaro Taguchi
Our model45%55%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Yuta KawahashiRyotaro Taguchi
Win %30%50%
Win % · Hard 33% (9) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.41.2-1.3
Games (G-P)9.8-11.812.6-12.7
Aces0.85.9
Double faults3.82.3
1st serve %60.9%72.1%
Break %48.4%38.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9

H2H · Yuta Kawahashi 11 Ryotaro Taguchi (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yuta Kawahashi 11 Ryotaro Taguchi

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DateSetsGamesRes.
17/05/26
Challenger Bengaluru
1-212-18L
11/02/23
UTR Pro Miki
2-012-4W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yuta Kawahashi

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Noritaka Koizumi
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-1 5-6 L
30/06 Hanyi Liu
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
26/06 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
25/06 Arvid Nordquist
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
23/06 Xing Dao Chen
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 14-13 W
04/06 Youssef Kadiri Hassani
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
1-2 14-15 L
03/06 Kazuma Kawachi
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
27/05 Noritaka Koizumi
M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay
1-2 8-15 L
17/05 Ryotaro Taguchi
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
1-2 12-18 L
13/05 Kriish Tyagi
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
0-2 8-12 L

Ryotaro Taguchi

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Yusuke Kusuhara
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
07/07 Ko Suzuki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
01/07 Kokoro Isomura
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 19-19 L
30/06 Kai-I Wang
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
27/05 Tsung-Hao Huang
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
18/05 Grigoriy Lomakin
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
1-2 14-18 L
17/05 Yuta Kawahashi
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-1 18-12 W
12/05 Keegan Smith
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
11/05 Naoya Honda
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
10/05 Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-1 18-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yuta Kawahashi vs Ryotaro Taguchi?

Our model gives 55% to Ryotaro Taguchi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.