Tennis · M15 Bali · 30/07, 05:00

Prediction: Yusuke Takahashi vs Alexander Chang

Team pages: Yusuke Takahashi · Alexander Chang

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Yusuke Takahashi Alexander Chang
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Yusuke Takahashi 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWWLLLWL
Alexander Chang 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yusuke Takahashi 1478 · Alexander Chang 1526
Yusuke TakahashiAlexander Chang
Our model43%57%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Chang (rating 1478 vs 1526).

Statistics

Yusuke TakahashiAlexander Chang
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 38% (8) 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.31.4-1.2
Games (G-P)11.8-12.811.8-11.9
Aces3.45.2
Double faults2.33
1st serve %65.1%69.1%
Break %40.4%32.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 23

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yusuke Takahashi

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/07 Thanaphat Boosarawongse
M15 Bali
0-2 9-13 L
21/07 Yuta Tomida
M15 Bali
2-0 12-5 W
09/07 Omar Jasika
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 10-16 L
07/07 Sora Fukuda
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
02/07 Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
30/06 Hiromasa Koyama
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
10/06 Masamichi Imamura
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 13-18 L
01/06 Harold Mayot
Challenger Centurion · Hard
1-2 13-19 L
28/05 Edward Winter
Challenger Centurion · Hard
1-2 11-16 L
26/05 Mert Alkaya
Challenger Centurion · Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Alexander Chang

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Shanker Heisnam
M15 Bali
2-1 16-13 W
25/07 Thanaphat Boosarawongse
M15 Bali
1-2 15-16 L
24/07 Sanhui Shin
M15 Bali
2-0 12-6 W
23/07 Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali
2-0 13-8 W
22/07 Azuma Visaya
M15 Bali
2-0 13-8 W
08/07 Jack Anthrop
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
0-2 1-12 L
07/07 Connor Church
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-1 11-9 W
01/07 Aidan Kim
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
1-2 11-15 L
31/12 Spencer Johnson
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
29/12 Vlad Cristian Breazu
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 12-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yusuke Takahashi vs Alexander Chang?

Our model gives 55% to Yusuke Takahashi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.