Tennis · W100 Evansville · 20/07, 19:30
Prediction: Hong Yi Cody Wong vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Hong Yi Cody Wong
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Hong Yi Cody Wong
6-4 (W-L)
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hong Yi Cody Wong
1–0
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hong Yi Cody Wong 1498 · Ekaterina Ovcharenko 1438
| Hong Yi Cody Wong | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hong Yi Cody Wong (rating 1498 vs 1438).
- Head-to-head: Hong Yi Cody Wong 1–0 Ekaterina Ovcharenko (1).
- Note: Ekaterina Ovcharenko makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Hong Yi Cody Wong | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.2 | 10.8-12.3 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Hong Yi Cody Wong 1 – 0 Ekaterina Ovcharenko (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hong Yi Cody Wong 1–0 Ekaterina Ovcharenko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/22 ITF W25 Nur-Sultan | 2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hong Yi Cody Wong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Sezim Sagynbaeva Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/06 | Chengyiyi Yuan W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 03/06 | Xinxin Yao W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 01/06 | Ekaterina Maklakova W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/05 | Ekaterina Yashina W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/05 | Momoko Kobori W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Yuno Kitahara W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/05 | Xinxin Yao WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Varvara Panshina WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Ekaterina Ovcharenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Alexandra Vagramov W75 Granby |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 05/07 | Sahaja Yamalapalli WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Maya Iyengar W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Alba Rey Garcia W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Maria Pares Bergnes de las Casas W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Nina Vargova W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 19/05 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/05 | Klara Kajabova W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/05 | Amandine Hesse W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 27/04 | Ayla Aksu WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hong Yi Cody Wong vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko?
Our model gives 56% to Hong Yi Cody Wong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.