Prediction: Margaux Maquet vs Darya Velikova
Prediction summary
Winner
Margaux Maquet
Darya Velikova
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Margaux Maquet
8-2 (W-L)
Darya Velikova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Margaux Maquet 1564 · Darya Velikova 1468
| Margaux Maquet | Darya Velikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Margaux Maquet (rating 1564 vs 1468).
- Margaux Maquet is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Darya Velikova makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Margaux Maquet | Darya Velikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.2 | 7.4-9.7 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 47.9% |
| Break % | 59.7% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Margaux Maquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Charlotte Narti W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Amelie Van Impe W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Fabienne Gettwart W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 24/06 | Lucia Ros Parres W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Antonia Stoyanov W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Carla Grignac W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Lena Thomas Iglesias W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Julie Myatovic W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/06 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Madrid |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Darya Velikova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Samantha Imbo Nloga W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Julia Stamatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Yoana Konstantinova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Berfu Cengiz W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Viktoria Veleva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 14/06 | Mariq-Magdalena Ynakiewa W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Iva Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Katarina Kujovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Natalija Senic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-10 | L |
| 12/05 | Simona Cucu W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Margaux Maquet vs Darya Velikova?
Our model gives 77% to Margaux Maquet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.