Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 20/07, 16:00
Prediction: Aidan Mayo vs Alan Magadan
Prediction summary
Winner
Aidan Mayo
Alan Magadan
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Aidan Mayo
3-7 (W-L)
Alan Magadan
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aidan Mayo 1496 · Alan Magadan 1566
| Aidan Mayo | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alan Magadan (rating 1496 vs 1566).
- Note: Aidan Mayo makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Aidan Mayo | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-13.7 | 13.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 9.6 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 76.3% | 76.2% |
| Break % | 27% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aidan Mayo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 15/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Braden Shick Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/05 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 29/05 | Johannus Monday Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/05 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/04 | Andy Andrade Challenger Savannah · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Alan Magadan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Owen Demuth Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/07 | Benjamin Thomas George Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Hyeon Chung M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aidan Mayo vs Alan Magadan?
Our model gives 54% to Aidan Mayo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.