Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 20/07, 16:00
Prediction: Evan Zhu vs Patrick Maloney
Prediction summary
Winner
Evan Zhu
Patrick Maloney
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Evan Zhu
7-3 (W-L)
Patrick Maloney
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Evan Zhu 1537 · Patrick Maloney 1466
| Evan Zhu | Patrick Maloney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Evan Zhu (rating 1537 vs 1466).
Statistics
| Evan Zhu | Patrick Maloney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.3 | 9.3-10.2 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Samir Banerjee Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 13/07 | Yassine Dlimi Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Ajeet Rai Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/07 | Trevor Svajda M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Landon Ardila M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Jack Kennedy M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Patrick Maloney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Yibing Wu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Las Vegas · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | James Trotter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Luca Pow Challenger Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Daniel Elahi Galan US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Evan Zhu vs Patrick Maloney?
Our model gives 50% to Evan Zhu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.