Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 20/07, 11:30
Prediction: Arantxa Rus vs Chloe Paquet
Prediction summary
Winner
Arantxa Rus
Chloe Paquet
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arantxa Rus
6-4 (W-L)
Chloe Paquet
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arantxa Rus
0–1
Chloe Paquet
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arantxa Rus 1486 · Chloe Paquet 1527
| Arantxa Rus | Chloe Paquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chloe Paquet (rating 1486 vs 1527).
- Head-to-head: Arantxa Rus 0–1 Chloe Paquet (1).
- Note: Chloe Paquet makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Arantxa Rus | Chloe Paquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.2 | 9.8-10.1 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Arantxa Rus 0 – 1 Chloe Paquet (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arantxa Rus 0–1 Chloe Paquet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/19 ITF W60 Saint-Gaudens | 1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arantxa Rus
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Leonie Rabl WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/07 | Lia Karatancheva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Federica Urgesi W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Sarah Van Emst W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Veronika Podrez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Jazmin Ortenzi French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/05 | Kristina Liutova W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Chloe Paquet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Valeriya Strakhova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentina Ivanov W75 Olomouc |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Lia Karatancheva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Julia Stusek W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Britt Du Pree W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Amy Sucha W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Julia Grabher WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arantxa Rus vs Chloe Paquet?
Our model gives 51% to Arantxa Rus, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.