Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 20/07, 11:30
Prediction: Eva Vedder vs Mona Barthel
Prediction summary
Winner
Eva Vedder
Mona Barthel
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Eva Vedder
7-3 (W-L)
Mona Barthel
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Eva Vedder
0–1
Mona Barthel
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Vedder 1578 · Mona Barthel 1460
| Eva Vedder | Mona Barthel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eva Vedder (rating 1578 vs 1460).
- Mona Barthel dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 49.4% break avg.
- Eva Vedder is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Eva Vedder 0–1 Mona Barthel (1).
- Note: Mona Barthel makes many double faults (8.1/match).
Statistics
| Eva Vedder | Mona Barthel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-8.7 | 10.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 8.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Eva Vedder 0 – 1 Mona Barthel (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eva Vedder 0–1 Mona Barthel
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/24 W35 Amstelveen | 1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Vedder
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Georgina Garcia-Perez WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Francesca Pace WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Lea Boskovic W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Alena Kovackova W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/07 | Gina Feistel W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Weronika Falkowska W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Nina Vargova W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 28/06 | Elena Micic W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Amandine Hesse W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Mona Barthel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Ekaterina Yashina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Arabella Koller WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 01/07 | Victoria Pohle W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Lin Zhu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Anna-Lena Friedsam French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/04 | Mia Pohankova W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Vedder vs Mona Barthel?
Our model gives 62% to Eva Vedder, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.