Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 20/07, 16:00
Prediction: Sebastian Gorzny vs Gavin Young
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Gorzny
Gavin Young
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Gorzny
4-6 (W-L)
Gavin Young
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Gorzny 1533 · Gavin Young 1559
| Sebastian Gorzny | Gavin Young | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Gavin Young dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 42% break avg.
- Note: Sebastian Gorzny makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Sebastian Gorzny | Gavin Young | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.9 | 13.3-11.8 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 7.7 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Gorzny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Landon Ardila M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Joshua Sheehy M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Ozan Baris M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Blake Ellis M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Mikael Arseneault M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/06 | Liam Draxl Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Gavin Young
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Richard Biagiotti Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Yassine Dlimi Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Aidan Kim M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 10/07 | Mitchell Krueger M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 09/07 | William Manning M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Luca Pow M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Maximus Dussault M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Gorzny vs Gavin Young?
Our model gives 50% to Sebastian Gorzny, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.