Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 20/07, 15:00
Prediction: Nadia Podoroska vs Julia Stusek
Prediction summary
Winner
Nadia Podoroska
Julia Stusek
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nadia Podoroska
6-4 (W-L)
Julia Stusek
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nadia Podoroska 1570 · Julia Stusek 1538
| Nadia Podoroska | Julia Stusek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 76% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nadia Podoroska makes many double faults (5.8/match).
- Note: Julia Stusek makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Nadia Podoroska | Julia Stusek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.7 | 10.3-11 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 56.2% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nadia Podoroska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Petra Marcinko WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Ruien Zhang W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Carolina Troiano W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 13/06 | Aurora Zantedeschi W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Dunja Maric W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Ruien Zhang W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Julia Stusek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Darmstadt |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Victoria Pohle W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Chloe Paquet W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Berta Passola W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 20/06 | Adrienn Nagy W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Mara Guth W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Ginevra Montebruno W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Zoe Kaegi W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Iva Ivanova W35 Nice |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Manon Favier W35 Nice |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nadia Podoroska vs Julia Stusek?
Our model gives 66% to Nadia Podoroska, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.