Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherif
Prediction summary
Winner
Simona Waltert
Mayar Sherif
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Simona Waltert
5-5 (W-L)
Mayar Sherif
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Simona Waltert
1–5
Mayar Sherif
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simona Waltert 1531 · Mayar Sherif 1666
| Simona Waltert | Mayar Sherif | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mayar Sherif (rating 1531 vs 1666).
- Mayar Sherif is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Simona Waltert 1–5 Mayar Sherif (6).
- Note: Simona Waltert makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Simona Waltert | Mayar Sherif | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 100% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-8.8 | 12.5-8.8 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Simona Waltert 1 – 5 Mayar Sherif (6)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Simona Waltert 1–5 Mayar Sherif
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/25 WTA Tucuman | 1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/05/25 WTA Parma | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09/22 WTA Parma | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/07/19 ITF W25 Torino | 2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/05/19 ITF W15 Cairo | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/02/19 W15 Sharm El Sheikh | 1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simona Waltert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Aneta Laboutkova WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Maria Camila Osorio Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Mayar Sherif
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Dalma Galfi WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 11/07 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Amandine Hesse WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Heather Watson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherif?
Our model gives 60% to Mayar Sherif, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.