Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Alina Charaeva
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Sorribes Tormo
4-6 (W-L)
Alina Charaeva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Sorribes Tormo 1503 · Alina Charaeva 1544
| Sara Sorribes Tormo | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Charaeva (rating 1503 vs 1544).
- Note: Alina Charaeva makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Sara Sorribes Tormo | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.6 | 12.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/06 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/05 | Tamara Korpatsch French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Daria Kasatkina WTA La Bisbal D'Emporda · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Elena Pridankina WTA La Bisbal D'Emporda · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Alina Charaeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Caroline Werner Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Elizabeth Mandlik Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Ayla Aksu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Anastasia Kulikova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Manon Leonard WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/06 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Alina Charaeva?
Our model gives 54% to Alina Charaeva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.