Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Nastasja Schunk
Prediction summary
Winner
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Nastasja Schunk
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksandra Oliynykova
6-4 (W-L)
Nastasja Schunk
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleksandra Oliynykova 1531 · Nastasja Schunk 1580
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | Nastasja Schunk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nastasja Schunk (rating 1531 vs 1580).
- Nastasja Schunk is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | Nastasja Schunk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-10.9 | 12.1-9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 52% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Clara Burel WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Elena Pridankina WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Ipek Oz WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/06 | McCartney Kessler Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Sofia Johnson WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Diana Shnaider French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Kimberly Birrell French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 26/05 | Elena Pridankina French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Nastasja Schunk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela W50 Darmstadt |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Francesca Curmi W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Selena Janicijevic W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Mathilde Lollia W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Julia Stusek W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Tamara Zidansek W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Diletta Cherubini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Mina Hodzic W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Nastasja Schunk?
Our model gives 55% to Oleksandra Oliynykova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.