Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 21/07, 16:00
Prediction: Spencer Johnson vs Coleman Wong
Prediction summary
Winner
Spencer Johnson
Coleman Wong
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Spencer Johnson
10-0 (W-L)
Coleman Wong
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Spencer Johnson
1–0
Coleman Wong
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spencer Johnson 1595 · Coleman Wong 1503
| Spencer Johnson | Coleman Wong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spencer Johnson (rating 1595 vs 1503).
- Spencer Johnson dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 46.8% break avg.
- Spencer Johnson is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Spencer Johnson 1–0 Coleman Wong (1).
Statistics
| Spencer Johnson | Coleman Wong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.2 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-8 | 11.3-13 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.5% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 19.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Spencer Johnson 1 – 0 Coleman Wong (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spencer Johnson 1–0 Coleman Wong
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Challenger Lincoln | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spencer Johnson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 18/07 | Coleman Wong Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Remy Bertola Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Noah Zamora M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Stian Klaassen M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Ronald Hohmann M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Nile Ung M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Coleman Wong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Borna Gojo Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Billy Harris Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 06/06 | James McCabe ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/05 | Alexander Blockx French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 21/05 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spencer Johnson vs Coleman Wong?
Our model gives 54% to Spencer Johnson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.