Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 21/07, 16:00
Prediction: Colton Smith vs Jeffrey John Wolf
Prediction summary
Winner
Colton Smith
Jeffrey John Wolf
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Colton Smith
6-4 (W-L)
Jeffrey John Wolf
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Colton Smith
1–0
Jeffrey John Wolf
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colton Smith 1545 · Jeffrey John Wolf 1551
| Colton Smith | Jeffrey John Wolf | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Colton Smith 1–0 Jeffrey John Wolf (1).
Statistics
| Colton Smith | Jeffrey John Wolf | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-12.9 | 13.2-10.1 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 56.7% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
H2H · Colton Smith 1 – 0 Jeffrey John Wolf (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colton Smith 1–0 Jeffrey John Wolf
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/25 Challenger Cleveland | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colton Smith
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Michael Zheng Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 24/06 | Borna Gojo Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Andy Andrade Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 04/06 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Jeffrey John Wolf
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Jay Friend Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Gavin Young M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 20/06 | Andres Martin M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Christian Langmo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Axel Nefve M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/05 | Joaquim Almeida M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-8 | L |
| 07/05 | Jordan Lee M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Raphael Perot M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colton Smith vs Jeffrey John Wolf?
Our model gives 56% to Colton Smith, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.