Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 21/07, 16:00
Prediction: Jacob Fearnley vs Remy Bertola
Prediction summary
Winner
Jacob Fearnley
Remy Bertola
Estimated games
26.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jacob Fearnley
2-8 (W-L)
Remy Bertola
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jacob Fearnley 1584 · Remy Bertola 1533
| Jacob Fearnley | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jacob Fearnley (rating 1584 vs 1533).
- Note: Jacob Fearnley makes many double faults (6.2/match).
- Note: Remy Bertola makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Jacob Fearnley | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 70% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.4 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.2-13.4 | 12.6-12.9 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 8.3 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 26.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jacob Fearnley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Adam Walton Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 11/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 10/07 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Jaume Munar Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Alex Michelsen Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 25-19 | W |
| 17/06 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Remy Bertola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Adrian Mannarino Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Max Basing Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 23-24 | L |
| 24/06 | Jurij Rodionov Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Liam Draxl Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Yibing Wu Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Luca Nardi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 14/06 | James McCabe Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jacob Fearnley vs Remy Bertola?
Our model gives 65% to Jacob Fearnley, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.