Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 21/07, 16:00
Prediction: Mark Lajal vs Darwin Blanch
Prediction summary
Winner
Mark Lajal
Darwin Blanch
Estimated games
26.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mark Lajal
4-6 (W-L)
Darwin Blanch
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mark Lajal 1499 · Darwin Blanch 1517
| Mark Lajal | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Darwin Blanch dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 43% break avg.
- Note: Mark Lajal makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Mark Lajal | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (6) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-14.2 | 12.7-14 |
| Aces | 6 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 5 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 25% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mark Lajal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 19/07 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Luka Pavlovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Arthur Gea Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Michael Zheng Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/06 | Paul Jubb Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Darwin Blanch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Filip Cristian Jianu Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 12/06 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/05 | Luka Pavlovic French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mark Lajal vs Darwin Blanch?
Our model gives 51% to Darwin Blanch, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.