Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 20/07, 19:00
Prediction: Moez Echargui vs Lloyd Harris
Prediction summary
Winner
Moez Echargui
Lloyd Harris
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Moez Echargui
3-7 (W-L)
Lloyd Harris
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moez Echargui 1428 · Lloyd Harris 1501
| Moez Echargui | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lloyd Harris (rating 1428 vs 1501).
- Lloyd Harris is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Moez Echargui | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-15.1 | 11.3-11 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 14.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 34% | 27.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moez Echargui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Hugo Gaston Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 14-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Keegan Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 22/06 | Edas Butvilas Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/06 | Jaime Faria Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Remy Bertola Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Bernard Tomic French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/05 | Jay Clarke Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Cristian Garin ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Andrea Pellegrino French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Hugo Grenier French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/04 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/03 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Marrakech · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/03 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Marrakech · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/03 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Alicante · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Jerome Kym Challenger Lille · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/02 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 14/02 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Tenerife · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moez Echargui vs Lloyd Harris?
Our model gives 66% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.