Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 20/07, 10:00
Prediction: Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyan
Prediction summary
Winner
Varvara Lepchenko
Elina Avanesyan
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Varvara Lepchenko
6-4 (W-L)
Elina Avanesyan
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Varvara Lepchenko
2–0
Elina Avanesyan
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Varvara Lepchenko 1506 · Elina Avanesyan 1545
| Varvara Lepchenko | Elina Avanesyan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Elina Avanesyan is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Varvara Lepchenko 2–0 Elina Avanesyan (2).
Statistics
| Varvara Lepchenko | Elina Avanesyan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.8 | 11.5-5.7 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 57.5% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 64.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Varvara Lepchenko 2 – 0 Elina Avanesyan (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Varvara Lepchenko 2–0 Elina Avanesyan
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 WTA Merida | 2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 22/08/23 WTA Chicago | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Varvara Lepchenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Anna Petkovic WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Clara Burel WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 13/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Maia Ilinca Burcescu WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Lisa Zaar WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 23/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Elina Avanesyan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Petra Marcinko WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Irina Fetecau WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Emily Seibold WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Elena Malygina Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Enki Hyseni Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/06 | Michelle Dzjachangirova Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyan?
Our model gives 61% to Elina Avanesyan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.