Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 19/07, 18:45
Prediction: Stefan Kozlov vs Leo Vithoontien
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Kozlov
Leo Vithoontien
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Kozlov
6-4 (W-L)
Leo Vithoontien
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Kozlov 1496 · Leo Vithoontien 1463
| Stefan Kozlov | Leo Vithoontien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Stefan Kozlov | Leo Vithoontien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.4 | 8.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 53% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Kozlov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Yibing Wu Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 12/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Mario Mansilla Diez Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/04 | Nick Hardt Challenger Savannah · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 20/04 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/04 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Leo Vithoontien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Jake Delaney M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Jesse Delaney M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/05 | Daniel Masur Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Vladyslav Orlov Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Kozlov vs Leo Vithoontien?
Our model gives 72% to Stefan Kozlov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.