Prediction: Lorenzo Claverie vs Bruno Kuzuhara

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Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Lorenzo Claverie Bruno Kuzuhara
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Claverie 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWWL
Bruno Kuzuhara 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lorenzo Claverie 1583 · Bruno Kuzuhara 1465
Lorenzo ClaverieBruno Kuzuhara
Our model66%34%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Claverie (rating 1583 vs 1465).
  • Lorenzo Claverie is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Lorenzo Claverie makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Lorenzo ClaverieBruno Kuzuhara
Win %80%40%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 29% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.60.9-1.3
Games (G-P)13.6-11.410.7-11
Aces12.11
Double faults41.6
1st serve %77.9%65.8%
Break %37.9%41.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lorenzo Claverie

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/07 Matias Soto
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 10-14 L
10/07 Facundo Mena
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
09/07 Nick Hardt
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
07/07 Samuel Heredia
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-1 19-14 W
06/07 Christopher Papa
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
05/07 Daniel Antonio Nunez
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
26/06 Jack Satterfield
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
1-2 14-18 L
25/06 Maxwell Exsted
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
25/06 Liam Krall
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
13/06 Rafael Botran Neutze
Davis Cup
2-0 12-5 W

Bruno Kuzuhara

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Kenta Miyoshi
Challenger Granby · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
10/07 Aidan Kim
M25 Dallas
0-2 9-13 L
09/07 Jerry Roddick
M25 Dallas
2-0 12-7 W
08/07 Stiles Brockett
M25 Dallas
2-0 13-9 W
18/06 Gavin Young
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
17/06 Alex Rybakov
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
2-1 13-9 W
10/06 William Manning
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
01/06 Andrew Fenty
Challenger Tyler · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
31/05 Daniel Masur
Challenger Tyler · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
25/05 Erik Arutiunian
Challenger Little Rock · Hard
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Claverie vs Bruno Kuzuhara?

Our model gives 57% to Lorenzo Claverie, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.