Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 19/07, 16:00
Prediction: Patrick Maloney vs Hiroki Moriya
Prediction summary
Winner
Patrick Maloney
Hiroki Moriya
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Patrick Maloney
5-5 (W-L)
Hiroki Moriya
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patrick Maloney 1458 · Hiroki Moriya 1467
| Patrick Maloney | Hiroki Moriya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Patrick Maloney | Hiroki Moriya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10.2 | 10.8-11.2 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 41% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patrick Maloney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Yibing Wu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Las Vegas · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | James Trotter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Luca Pow Challenger Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Daniel Elahi Galan US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Elias Ymer US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Hiroki Moriya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 12/07 | Andreja Petrovic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Alex Martinez Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Uisung Park M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Seongwoo Cho M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 01/06 | Aidan Kim Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patrick Maloney vs Hiroki Moriya?
Our model gives 55% to Patrick Maloney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.