Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 19/07, 21:00
Prediction: Matt Kuhar vs Roger Pascual Ferra
Prediction summary
Winner
Matt Kuhar
Roger Pascual Ferra
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Matt Kuhar
4-6 (W-L)
Roger Pascual Ferra
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matt Kuhar 1385 · Roger Pascual Ferra 1593
| Matt Kuhar | Roger Pascual Ferra | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 77% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roger Pascual Ferra (rating 1385 vs 1593).
- Roger Pascual Ferra is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Matt Kuhar makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Matt Kuhar | Roger Pascual Ferra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 10% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.9 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-13.6 | 11.9-7.4 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 30.1% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matt Kuhar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Karl Poling Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Karl Kazuma Lee M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Noah Johnston M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Elijah Sanogo Challenger Abidjan Qual · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/04 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Matteo Fondriest Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 24/03 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Roger Pascual Ferra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 27/06 | Charles Bertimon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Logan Zapp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Rocco Piatti M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Jackson Ross M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/06 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matt Kuhar vs Roger Pascual Ferra?
Our model gives 82% to Roger Pascual Ferra, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.