Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 23/07, 16:30
Prediction: Riley Crowder vs Natalie Oliver
Prediction summary
Winner
Riley Crowder
Natalie Oliver
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Riley Crowder
5-5 (W-L)
Natalie Oliver
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riley Crowder 1551 · Natalie Oliver 1432
| Riley Crowder | Natalie Oliver | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riley Crowder (rating 1551 vs 1432).
- Riley Crowder is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Riley Crowder makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Natalie Oliver makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Riley Crowder | Natalie Oliver | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 0.6-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.1 | 9-12.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riley Crowder
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 21/07 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 17/07 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Elle Warren UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Mackenzie Clark UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Taylor Goetz UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/05 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/05 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/05 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Natalie Oliver
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Oziera Ahmad UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Lucia Fuduric UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Jane Dunyon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/04 | Joanna Kennedy UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riley Crowder vs Natalie Oliver?
Our model gives 76% to Riley Crowder, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.