Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 19/07, 19:00
Prediction: Kate Mansfield vs Emily Deming
Prediction summary
Winner
Kate Mansfield
Emily Deming
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Kate Mansfield
7-3 (W-L)
Emily Deming
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kate Mansfield 1513 · Emily Deming 1584
| Kate Mansfield | Emily Deming | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emily Deming (rating 1513 vs 1584).
- Emily Deming is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Kate Mansfield makes many double faults (7/match).
- Note: Emily Deming makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Kate Mansfield | Emily Deming | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.9 | 13.5-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 7 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 49.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kate Mansfield
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Nicole Weng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Gloriana Nahum W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 11/12 | Anastasia Efremova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/12 | Iva Ivanova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/11 | Alessandra Mazzola ITF W15 Torello · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/11 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia ITF W15 Torello · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/11 | Didi Bredberg Canizares ITF W15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/11 | Diana Marcinkevica ITF W15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/11 | Paula Cembranos ITF W15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
Emily Deming
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Salma Ewing UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Anya Arora UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 16/07 | Vivian Gallaway UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Chelsea Bluestein UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Mila Mulready UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Camille Kiss UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 04/07 | Sabritt Dozier UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Esther Vyrlan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kate Mansfield vs Emily Deming?
Our model gives 53% to Kate Mansfield, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.