Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 17/07, 17:00
Prediction: Nicole Weng vs Kate Mansfield
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicole Weng
Kate Mansfield
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Nicole Weng
7-3 (W-L)
Kate Mansfield
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicole Weng 1549 · Kate Mansfield 1506
| Nicole Weng | Kate Mansfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicole Weng (rating 1549 vs 1506).
- Note: Kate Mansfield makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Nicole Weng | Kate Mansfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-7.9 | 9.8-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 46% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicole Weng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Sage Bergeson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Tiffany Papazian UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Kelly Shi UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/07 | Daniela Borruel UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Ares Teixido Garcia UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Raegan Farm UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tallia Harper UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Olivia Center W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/03 | Alexis Nguyen UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Kate Mansfield
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Gloriana Nahum W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 11/12 | Anastasia Efremova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/12 | Iva Ivanova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/11 | Alessandra Mazzola ITF W15 Torello · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/11 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia ITF W15 Torello · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/11 | Didi Bredberg Canizares ITF W15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 21/11 | Diana Marcinkevica ITF W15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/11 | Paula Cembranos ITF W15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 19/11 | Aran Teixido Garcia ITF W15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 14/11 | Arianna Zucchini W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicole Weng vs Kate Mansfield?
Our model gives 53% to Nicole Weng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.