Prediction: Emily Deming vs Salma Ewing

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Emily Deming Salma Ewing
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Emily Deming 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWLWWLWW
Salma Ewing 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Emily Deming 1611 · Salma Ewing 1542
Emily DemingSalma Ewing
Our model60%40%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emily Deming (rating 1611 vs 1542).
  • Emily Deming is in better form: 90% recent wins.
  • Note: Emily Deming makes many double faults (4.6/match).
  • Note: Salma Ewing makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Emily DemingSalma Ewing
Win %90%60%
Win % · Hard 90% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.81.4-0.9
Games (G-P)14.3-11.311-9.5
Aces0.52.4
Double faults4.64.8
1st serve %63%66.4%
Break %49.8%56.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Emily Deming

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/07 Anya Arora
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-1 18-16 W
16/07 Vivian Gallaway
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Chelsea Bluestein
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
14/07 Mila Mulready
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
04/07 Camille Kiss
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-1 13-13 W
04/07 Sabritt Dozier
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-1 18-12 W
03/07 Tricia Mar
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-1 16-10 W
02/07 Lexie Weir
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
01/07 Esther Vyrlan
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
12/06 Tanvi Pandey
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-1 18-13 W

Salma Ewing

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/07 Tianmei Wang
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-1 12-10 W
04/07 Alina Shcherbinina
W15 San Diego · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
03/07 Anya Arora
W15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
02/07 Angela Ho
W15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
01/07 Simone Kay
W15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
26/06 Alyssa Ahn
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
1-2 13-17 L
25/06 Paola Lopez
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
23/06 Maria Aytoyan
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
18/06 Kaitlyn Carnicella
W15 Irvine · ~Hard
1-2 11-15 L
11/06 Maria Aytoyan
W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
0-2 9-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Emily Deming vs Salma Ewing?

Our model gives 58% to Salma Ewing, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.