Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 19/07, 13:00
Prediction: Valeriya Strakhova vs Chloe Paquet
Prediction summary
Winner
Valeriya Strakhova
Chloe Paquet
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Valeriya Strakhova
6-4 (W-L)
Chloe Paquet
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Valeriya Strakhova
0–1
Chloe Paquet
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valeriya Strakhova 1485 · Chloe Paquet 1505
| Valeriya Strakhova | Chloe Paquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 15% | 85% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Valeriya Strakhova 0–1 Chloe Paquet (1).
- Note: Chloe Paquet makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Valeriya Strakhova | Chloe Paquet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.7 | 9.4-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 58.3% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Valeriya Strakhova 0 – 1 Chloe Paquet (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valeriya Strakhova 0–1 Chloe Paquet
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/24 WTA Santa Cruz | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valeriya Strakhova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Alena Kovackova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Elena Korokozidi W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 08/06 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Olivia Gram W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Mina Hodzic W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 31/05 | Carlotta Bassotti W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Elena Milovanovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Nadja Mladenovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 24/05 | Anastasiya Zaparyniuk W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
Chloe Paquet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Valentina Ivanov W75 Olomouc |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Lia Karatancheva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Julia Stusek W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Britt Du Pree W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Amy Sucha W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Julia Grabher WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Amarissa Kiara Toth WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valeriya Strakhova vs Chloe Paquet?
Our model gives 71% to Chloe Paquet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.