Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 19/07, 14:30
Prediction: Ekaterina Yashina vs Mona Barthel
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Yashina
Mona Barthel
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Yashina
3-7 (W-L)
Mona Barthel
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Yashina 1442 · Mona Barthel 1431
| Ekaterina Yashina | Mona Barthel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mona Barthel dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 47.3% break avg.
- Note: Ekaterina Yashina makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Mona Barthel makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Yashina | Mona Barthel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-12.1 | 9.3-11.9 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 7.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 63% |
| Break % | 37.2% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Yashina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Mina Hodzic WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Lina Glushko WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Jing-Jing Lu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Junhan Zhang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Ran Yang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Shiyu Ye W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 31/05 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Zongyu Li W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Yingqun Sun W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Shiyu Ye W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Mona Barthel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Arabella Koller WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 01/07 | Victoria Pohle W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Lin Zhu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Anna-Lena Friedsam French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/04 | Mia Pohankova W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 23/04 | Linda Klimovicova WTA Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Yashina vs Mona Barthel?
Our model gives 71% to Mona Barthel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.