Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 19/07, 10:00
Prediction: Varvara Lepchenko vs Anna Petkovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Varvara Lepchenko
Anna Petkovic
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Varvara Lepchenko
5-5 (W-L)
Anna Petkovic
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Varvara Lepchenko 1484 · Anna Petkovic 1488
| Varvara Lepchenko | Anna Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Varvara Lepchenko | Anna Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.9 | 9.4-11 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.1% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 48% | 57.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Varvara Lepchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Clara Burel WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 13/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Maia Ilinca Burcescu WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Lisa Zaar WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 23/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Anna Petkovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Leena Friedman W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 04/07 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Kristina Kovgan W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Zi Ying Ruan W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 02/03 | Erika Andreeva W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Manacor |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 19/01 | Emily Appleton W75 Leszno · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/01 | Weronika Falkowska W75 Leszno · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 13/01 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W50 Manchester · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Varvara Lepchenko vs Anna Petkovic?
Our model gives 72% to Varvara Lepchenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.