Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 19/07, 10:00
Prediction: Elena Malygina vs Lisa Zaar
Prediction summary
Winner
Elena Malygina
Lisa Zaar
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Malygina
4-6 (W-L)
Lisa Zaar
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elena Malygina
0–1
Lisa Zaar
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena Malygina 1450 · Lisa Zaar 1496
| Elena Malygina | Lisa Zaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lisa Zaar (rating 1450 vs 1496).
- Head-to-head: Elena Malygina 0–1 Lisa Zaar (1).
Statistics
| Elena Malygina | Lisa Zaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-12.3 | 12.8-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 52.7% | 54.8% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Elena Malygina 0 – 1 Lisa Zaar (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elena Malygina 0–1 Lisa Zaar
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/18 ITF Women Stockholm | 1-2 | 18-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena Malygina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Sofya Lansere WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Viola Turini WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 24/06 | Daria Kuczer W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Elina Avanesyan Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Marie Weckerle Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/04 | Amandine Hesse W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Weronika Ewald W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 07/04 | Xinyu Gao W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Mona Barthel W50 Nantes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Ekaterina Kazionova W50 Croissy-Beaubourg · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Lisa Zaar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Madison Sieg W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Iva Ivanova W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Laura Samsonova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 29/05 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Xiaodi You W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Rasheeda McAdoo W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena Malygina vs Lisa Zaar?
Our model gives 65% to Lisa Zaar, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.