Tennis · WTA Hamburg · 19/07, 11:30
Prediction: Arantxa Rus vs Ekaterina Kazionova
Prediction summary
Winner
Arantxa Rus
Ekaterina Kazionova
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Arantxa Rus
6-4 (W-L)
Ekaterina Kazionova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arantxa Rus 1479 · Ekaterina Kazionova 1497
| Arantxa Rus | Ekaterina Kazionova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ekaterina Kazionova makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Arantxa Rus | Ekaterina Kazionova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.4 | 10.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 56.8% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arantxa Rus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Leonie Rabl WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/07 | Lia Karatancheva W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Federica Urgesi W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Sarah Van Emst W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Martina Capurro Taborda W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Veronika Podrez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Jazmin Ortenzi French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/05 | Kristina Liutova W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Madison Brengle W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Ekaterina Kazionova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Rositsa Dencheva W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Federica Sacco W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Ilinca D Amariei W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Liv Boulard W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Victoria Pohle W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Anna Burchak W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arantxa Rus vs Ekaterina Kazionova?
Our model gives 61% to Arantxa Rus, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.