Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 22/07, 22:10
Prediction: Mary Boyce Deatherage vs Lexie Weir
Prediction summary
Winner
Mary Boyce Deatherage
Lexie Weir
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Boyce Deatherage
5-5 (W-L)
Lexie Weir
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mary Boyce Deatherage 1563 · Lexie Weir 1473
| Mary Boyce Deatherage | Lexie Weir | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mary Boyce Deatherage (rating 1563 vs 1473).
Statistics
| Mary Boyce Deatherage | Lexie Weir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.6 | 11-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 48.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mary Boyce Deatherage
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Sobee Oak UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/07 | Maeve Thornton UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/07 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Katie Spencer UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 27/06 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Sydney Jara UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Ellie Myers UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Lexie Weir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Amara Brahmbhatt UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Maeve Thornton UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Sobee Oak UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Daniela Borruel UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mary Boyce Deatherage vs Lexie Weir?
Our model gives 56% to Mary Boyce Deatherage, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.