Tennis · UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · 21/07, 18:00
Prediction: Calla McGill vs Ariana Gilbert
Prediction summary
Winner
Calla McGill
Ariana Gilbert
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Calla McGill
6-4 (W-L)
Ariana Gilbert
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Calla McGill 1517 · Ariana Gilbert 1477
| Calla McGill | Ariana Gilbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Calla McGill (rating 1517 vs 1477).
- Note: Calla McGill makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Calla McGill | Ariana Gilbert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.2 | 9.5-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 56.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Calla McGill
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Liam Oved UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Jane Dunyon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Ellie Myers UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Sydney Jara UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/05 | Salma Loudili UTR Pro Concord Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Audrey Moutama UTR Pro Concord Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/05 | Ariane Lesterhuis UTR Pro Concord Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/05 | Jelena Vico UTR Pro Concord Women · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova UTR Pro Concord Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Ariana Gilbert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Nadia Elle Valdez W35 Rome |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Serafima Elizarova UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Violeta Martinez UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Taylor Goetz UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/05 | Addison Bowman UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Mckenzie Shelton UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Germany Davis UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Calla McGill vs Ariana Gilbert?
Our model gives 63% to Calla McGill, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.